A very highly respected and successful racing website, The Geegeez Blog, once did a survey and asked the question…
Which of the following is the MOST important factor for you in a horse racing betting system?
Around 400 people took the time to respond, and their answers were in line with what I think we all look for in a betting system for horse racing…
56% (222 people) said the most important factor was long-term profits,
23% (91 people) said they wanted a system with short losing runs.
11% (45 voters) said that low liabilities were most important.
So that was fully 90% of all the people who responded, who told them they wanted a low liability system, with short losing runs (these tend to go hand in hand), and they
were interested most of all in... long-term profits.
That was the core focus of my system research for the National Hunt Eachway Profits,
and I’m delighted to say that…
National Hunt Eachway Profits has an almost unbroken track record of success, going back to January 2003.
2008 is the year it was broken, but since then, as you will see, it's gone from strength to strength since.
The year on year profitability at starting prices can be seen in the table below, but this barely scratches the surface. If you are getting best odds guaranteed
or betting on the exchanges, you can expect your profits to be higher.
In fact, significantly higher.
Here are the facts about National Hunt Eachway Profits as a whole:
All figures are to £10 level stakes.
Keep in mind the figures for 2015 are obviously not for a full year, but they do show that we are on track for another year of continuous profit.
Year | Eachway Bets | Year |
Win only bets |
|
2003 | £18.3 | 2003 | £50 | |
2004 | £13.00 | 2004 | £50.8 | |
2005 | £351.6 | 2005 | £56.6 | |
2006 | £403.8 | 2006 | £203.3 | |
2007 | £615.8 | 2007 | £520 | |
2008 | -£718.1 | 2008 | -£300 | |
2009 | £152.6 | 2009 | £285 | |
2010 | £1511.5 | 2010 | £1042.5 | |
2011 | £1720.8 | 2011 | £1565.8 | |
2012 | £284.9 | 2012 | £205.8 | |
2013 | £1392.6 | 2013 | £1335 | |
2014 | £1594.4 | 2014 | £1297.5 | |
2015 | £1139.3 | 2015 | £1011.6 |
We can see clearly that there has been consistent profit in each of the years except 2008.
And it is this consistency that is the heartbeat of National Hunt Eachway Profits.
The losing runs are minimal, especially as we are betting each way, but as you know, all betting systems will have their losing runs.
National Hunt Eachway Profits is no exception, aside from the tight management of such situations.
Now let's look at the average strike rates for the system in more detail...
The key component in terms of keeping the losing runs to a minimum is a high strike rate. The higher a system's strike rate, the less likely we are to have those painful, and confidence destroying, runs of putting your money down on bets, and no money returned.
Natinal Hunt Eachway Profits has been delivering money making bets on average nigh on one in every four runners since 2009, and again, there's no reason to believe that will change any time soon.
Here's the breakdown of runners, winners and average strike rates, for each year going as far back as 2003 :
(Keep in mind the figures for 2015 are obviously not a full year)
.
Year | Runs | Placed | Place Strike Place | Wins | Win Strike Rate |
2003 | 40 | 15 | 37.50% | 7 | 17.50% |
2004 | 64 | 27 | 42.19% | 12 | 18.75% |
2005 | 88 | 42 | 47.73% | 14 | 15.91% |
2006 | 112 | 51 | 45.54% | 19 | 16.96% |
2007 | 122 | 51 | 41.80% | 23 | 18.85% |
2008 | 185 | 54 | 29.19% | 21 | 11.35% |
2009 | 198 | 69 | 34.85% | 28 | 14.14% |
2010 | 154 | 74 | 48.05% | 34 | 22.08% |
2011 | 195 | 82 | 42.05% | 44 | 22.56% |
2012 | 181 | 80 | 44.20% | 31 | 17.13% |
2013 | 209 | 82 | 39.23% | 41 | 19.62% |
2014 | 201 | 84 | 41.79% | 39 | 19.40% |
2015 | 132 | 58 | 43.94% | 30 | 22.73% |
If, like me, you like to be a bit safer in your betting, and you do bet each way, then the figures need no explaning, as they show for themselves as a percentage and as a profit figure, how consistently profitable this approach has been.
The really good part about all this is that these profits are produced from an average of just 3 or 4 selective, quality, and precise bets per week.
Obviously, there will be more bets in winter months than summer.
These profits and strike rates are achieved with no odds on favourites, or odds of evens, we don't follow the betting crowds. WE ARE NOT GOING FOR RUBBISH ODDS, but, we do not go for massive outsiders either like 33/1 shots or 50/1.
I think that makes the table look even more impressive.
Paul Broadway